Highlights

• Bitcoin rebounds above USD 70,700 after heavy liquidations and risk-off selloff.
• BTC remains down 33% YoY and over 45% below its lifetime high near USD 126,000.
• Crypto volatility intensifies as ETF redemptions and futures liquidations weigh on sentiment.
• Long-term returns stay compelling, with Bitcoin up roughly 16,590% over the past decade.

Bitcoin is trading above USD 70,700 on Monday, stabilising after a sharp rebound from recent lows near USD 60,187, as investors reassessed risk appetite following heavy liquidations in crypto markets. The recovery came amid a broader rebound in global risk assets, including technology stocks and precious metals, while investors turned cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data expected later this week.

Bitcoin Faces Volatility as Macro Pressures Persist

The cryptocurrency market has remained highly volatile in recent months. Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency by market capitalisation, is down 33% over the past year and more than 45% from its lifetime high above USD 126,000 per token. Investor confidence has weakened as expectations of additional U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate cuts this year have faded.

Downward pressure in crypto markets, combined with valuation gains in goldc and silver, has led some investors to question Bitcoin’s role as a store of value. These factors triggered heavy sell-offs last week, amplified by forced liquidations in crypto futures markets and extended redemptions from Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds.

Risk Sentiment and Global Market Influence

Bitcoin’s sharp decline earlier this week was linked to a broader risk-off mood in global markets. A selloff in U.S. technology stocks, particularly AI-linked names, weighed on investor sentiment, while leveraged positions in crypto were unwound.

Risk appetite showed signs of recovery after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi secured a landslide election victory, boosting equities in the region and contributing to stabilisation in global markets. The rebound in technology stocks and precious metals also supported a recovery in Bitcoin, which surged over 12% in a single session on Friday to reclaim the USD 70,000 level.

Long-Term Performance Remains Strong

Despite short-term volatility, Bitcoin’s long-term performance remains significant. Over the past decade, Bitcoin has delivered returns of approximately 16,590%. A USD 1,000 investment made 10 years ago would now be worth roughly USD 167,000, highlighting the asset’s historical wealth-creation potential despite repeated periods of heavy selling pressure.

Key U.S. Data in Focus

Investors are now closely watching upcoming U.S. economic data, including delayed employment figures and the consumer price index report later this week. These indicators could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate outlook, with markets currently pricing in potential rate cuts in 2026 if inflation cools and labour market momentum softens.

Outlook

While Bitcoin has rebounded from recent lows, near-term price direction remains uncertain as macroeconomic signals, interest rate expectations, ETF flows, and global risk sentiment continue to shape investor behaviour.

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