Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd
Index Update: The Nifty 50 rose 25.45 points to close at 25,868.60, staying firmly above the 51-day EMA at 25,083.26. The RSI at 72.26 signals strong bullish momentum with mild overbought conditions. A sustained move above 26,000 could extend gains toward 26,500, while support remains strong near 25,650. Overall sentiment stays positive.
Macro Update: India’s net FDI turned negative in August 2025, with an outflow of USD 0.62 billion amid lower inflows (USD 6.05 billion) and higher repatriation (USD 4.93 billion), per RBI data. This marks the first negative print of FY26, reflecting global investment caution after July’s strong USD 5 billion inflow.
Top Market Movers: On Tuesday, Cipla Ltd (NSE: CIPLA) led the gainers with a 1.49% increase, closing at INR 1,663.60 followed by Bajaj Finserv Ltd (NSE: BAJAJFINSV) up 1.37% at INR 2,169.10 and Axis Bank Ltd (NSE: AXISBANK) which rose 0.92% to INR 1,237.30. On the downside, Kotak Mahindra Bank (NSE: KOTAKBANK) saw the largest drop, falling 0.76% to INR 2,197.00 followed HCL Technologies Ltd (NSE: HCLTECH) down 0.63% to INR 1,486.00 and ICICI Bank Ltd (NSE: ICICIBANK), which dropped 0.60% to INR 1,382.00.
Commodity Update: The dollar strengthened slightly against the yen on Tuesday as investors turned attention to political developments in Japan and the euro area, while U.S. credit risk worries persisted. Gold slipped 0.14% to USD 4,353.35 per ounce, silver declined 1.47% to USD 50.62, and copper rose 0.17% to USD 10,708.75. Brent crude dipped 0.10% to USD 61.00 per barrel, hovering near five-month lows amid supply glut and weak demand concerns.
Our Stance: Nifty’s strength above key moving averages and RSI above 70 reflect strong bullish momentum. A breakout above 26,000 may trigger further upside toward 26,500. Despite mild overbought signals, sentiment remains positive. Caution warranted on FDI outflows, but market resilience and sector rotation continue to support overall bullish bias.

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