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Nifty Consolidates Above Key Support as Liquidity Improves and Resistance Looms

Nifty Consolidates Above Key Support as Liquidity Improves and Resistance Looms

Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd

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Index Update: The Nifty 50 Index closed at 23,865.75, down 0.34% in the latest session. The index remained above its 63-day SMA near 23,746.31, indicating a stable medium-term technical structure despite the day's decline. Recent price action reflects continued consolidation following the recovery from earlier lows, with the index trading within a relatively narrow range. The 14-day RSI stood at 51.69, below its average of 53.92, suggesting balanced momentum conditions. Immediate support is placed near 23,627.09 and 23,388.44, while resistance is seen around 24,104.41 and 24,343.06. A move beyond these levels could influence the index's near-term price direction.

Macro Update: India's 10-year government bond yield declined to around 6.71%, its lowest level in 15 weeks, supported by improved banking system liquidity and lower funding costs following RBI measures. Softer US Treasury yields and Brent crude near $72.50 per barrel further strengthened demand for bonds by easing inflation concerns and improving market sentiment.

Top Market Movers: On Tuesday, Maruti Suzuki India Limited (NSE:MARUTI) led the gainers with a 5.24% increase, closing at INR 14,115.00 followed by Titan Company Limited (NSE:TITAN) up 2.96% at INR 4,404.00 and Adani Enterprises Limited (NSE:ADANIENT) which rose 2.48% to INR 3,036.00. On the downside followed Eicher Motors Limited (NSE:EICHERMOT) saw the largest drop, falling 4.75% to INR 7,073.50 followed Infosys Limited (NSE:INFY) down 3.50% to INR 1,000.40 and Tata Consumer Products Limited (NSE:TATACONSUM) which dropped 3.34% to INR 1,075.60.

Commodity Update: The U.S. dollar remained firm near multi-month highs while the Japanese yen hovered around its weakest level since 1986, keeping markets alert for the possibility of intervention by Japanese authorities. Investors also remained focused on upcoming U.S. labor market data for fresh signals on the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook. In commodities, gold declined 1.40% to USD 3,981.60 per ounce, silver slipped 1.05% to USD 58.01, copper edged up 0.15% to USD 13,329.00 per metric ton, while Brent crude eased 0.08% to USD 73.86 per barrel.

Our Stance: The market continues to trade within a consolidation range while holding above key medium-term support, reflecting a stable underlying trend. Softer bond yields, easing crude prices, and improving liquidity remain supportive for sentiment. However, upcoming global economic data and resistance levels may determine the index's next directional move in the near term.

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