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Nifty Near Resistance as Investors Await Key Fed Meeting Outcome

Nifty Near Resistance as Investors Await Key Fed Meeting Outcome

Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd

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Index Update: The Nifty 50 Index closed at 24,085.70, up 0.40% in the latest session, extending its recent recovery and moving closer to the upper end of its prevailing range. The index has continued to display resilience following the correction witnessed earlier in the year, with recent price action reflecting improving market sentiment. Immediate support is placed near 23,800.00, with the next support level seen around 23,500.00. On the upside, immediate resistance is located near 24,200.00, while the next resistance level is seen around 24,500.00. A sustained move above the resistance zone could support further upside movement, while a break below support may weaken the near-term setup.

Macro Update: India’s 10-year government bond yield eased to a two-month low near 6.8%, supported by a sharp decline in crude oil prices and robust foreign inflows into domestic debt markets. Lower inflation concerns improved sentiment, though profit-taking and caution ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision limited further declines in yields.

Top Market Movers: On Wednesday, Trent Limited (NSE: TRENT) led the gainers with a 7.07% increase, closing at INR 3,102.80 followed by Bharat Electronics Limited (NSE: BEL) up 3.02% at INR 419.85 and Hindalco Industries Limited (NSE: HINDALCO) which rose 2.60% to INR 1,007.90. On the downside followed Tata Motors Passenger Vehicles Limited (NSE: TMPV) saw the largest drop, falling 8.30% to INR 360.95 followed Cipla Limited (NSE: CIPLA) down 1.63% to INR 1,350.80 and Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Limited (NSE: ONGC) which dropped 1.29% to INR 245.00.

Commodity Update: The U.S. dollar remained steady on Wednesday after a four-session losing streak, supported by improving risk sentiment as expectations grew for a potential U.S.-Iran peace agreement. Currency markets also reacted to interest rate decisions from Japan and Australia, while investors awaited the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy decision under Chair Kevin Warsh. Gold slipped 0.03% to USD 4,352.70 per ounce, while silver rose 0.45% to USD 70.33 per ounce. Copper edged up 0.01% to USD 13,818.90 per tonne. Brent crude oil declined 0.60% to USD 79.43 per barrel amid easing geopolitical concerns.

Our Stance: Market sentiment remains cautiously positive as the Nifty 50 continues to trade near key resistance levels, supported by easing bond yields, lower crude oil prices, and sustained foreign inflows. While improving macro conditions may aid further gains, investors are likely to remain watchful of global monetary policy signals and geopolitical developments.

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