Source: Krish Capital Pty Ltd
Index Update: The Nifty 50 Index advanced 190.75 points to close at 26,129.60, indicating renewed buying interest and improving short-term momentum. The broader technical structure remains constructive, with the index sustaining above its 21-period SMA, which acts as a key dynamic support. Immediate downside support is placed near 25,950, aligned with a falling trendline.
Macro Update: India’s macro environment remains resilient, supported by steady domestic demand and policy stability. Services-led growth offsets pockets of manufacturing moderation, while easing inflation provides room for a calibrated stance by the Reserve Bank of India. Fiscal discipline, infrastructure spending, and a stable banking system underpin confidence amid global uncertainties.
Top Market Movers: On Wednesday, JSW Steel Ltd (NSE: JSWSTEEL) led the gainers with a 4.79% increase, closing at INR 1,164.80 followed by Oil and Natural Gas Corporation Ltd (NSE: ONGC) up 2.43% at INR 240.38 and Tata Steel Ltd (NSE: TATASTEEL) which rose 2.43% to INR 180.08. On the downside followed Tata Consultancy Services Ltd (NSE: TCS) saw the largest drop, falling 1.25% to INR 3,206.20 followed Tech Mahindra Ltd (NSE: TECHM) down 0.85% to INR 1,590.90 and Grasim Industries Ltd (NSE: GRASIM), which dropped 0.45% to INR 2,829.00.
Commodity Update: Major currencies traded in narrow ranges on Wednesday amid thin year-end volumes, as investors awaited Federal Reserve meeting minutes for policy cues into 2026. Regional FX activity stayed muted. Gold fell 0.49% to USD 4,364.65, silver dropped 5.26% to USD 73.82, and copper eased 0.68% to USD 12,549.00. Brent crude slipped 0.20% to USD 61.23, with oil down over 10% in 2025 amid supply-demand imbalances.
Our Stance: The market stance remains cautiously positive. Strong index momentum above key technical supports and resilient domestic macro fundamentals support near-term optimism. However, muted global cues, commodity volatility, and thin year-end participation warrant selectivity. A buy-on-dips approach appears prudent while monitoring global policy signals and support levels closely.

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