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Nifty IT Down 25% in One Month: Key Reasons Behind the Fall & Rebound Outlook

Nifty IT Down 25% in One Month: Key Reasons Behind the Fall & Rebound Outlook

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Nifty IT Fall: Key Highlights

  • Sharp decline: The index dropped over 25%, hitting multi-year lows.
  • AI concerns: Automation risks impacting traditional IT services outlook.
  • Weak demand: Global clients reducing discretionary tech spending.
  • US macro pressure: Higher interest rates affecting sector valuations.
  • FII selling: Continued outflows from large-cap IT stocks.
  • Margin pressure: Rising costs and tight pricing impacting profitability.
  • Sector rotation: Capital shifting to banking, auto, and infra.
  • Valuation reset: Earlier premium valuations correcting amid slower growth expectations, indicating a broader structural adjustment in the sector.

Nifty IT Index: The Nifty IT index has entered a sharp corrective phase, declining over 25% in recent months and nearing multi-year lows. The fall has been largely driven by persistent foreign investor outflows from large-cap IT stocks, along with weak global demand conditions. Additionally, concerns around AI-led disruption and elevated US interest rates have weighed on the sector’s outlook, impacting overall sentiment and leading to a broad-based decline across major IT companies.

Nifty IT Decline: Key Drivers and Concentration Impact

The Nifty IT index decline reflects a combination of structural and macro pressures, including concerns around AI disruption affecting traditional service models and weak global tech spending impacting deal visibility. Higher US interest rates and persistent FII outflows have further weighed on sentiment. Companies like TCS, Infosys, HCL Tech, and Tech Mahindra have seen notable corrections, which has amplified the index fall due to their heavy weight. Additionally, margin pressures and ongoing sector rotation toward other industries have influenced the trend, making the decline more broad-based yet concentrated in key stocks.

Technical View: Nifty IT Index: Rebound Attempt Within Corrective Structure

From a technical perspective, The Nifty IT index is currently trading near 29,490.30 as of March 18, 2026, and continues to remain below its 50-day Simple Moving Average around 34,381.52, indicating a weak broader setup. The price structure still reflects a series of lower highs and lower lows, highlighting the ongoing corrective phase. However, a short-term rebound from recent lows is visible, suggesting early signs of stabilisation after the sharp decline. The 14-day RSI near 28.40 shows recovery from oversold levels. In the near term, support is placed around 27,800–26,200, while resistance is seen near 32,900–35,000.

Bottom Line: Nifty IT at Multi-Month Lows — Stabilisation or Extended Correction?

The Nifty IT index remains under pressure near multi-month lows, reflecting cautious sector sentiment. While oversold indicators hint at a short-term rebound, the near-term direction may depend on global demand trends, US rate outlook, and sustained institutional flows.

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